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Avery Lian Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2007-02-18 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Duluth Marshall School (W) USHS-MN-W 23 2 5 7 0.304 0.0489 0.0489 — —
2022-23 Duluth Marshall School (W) USHS-MN-W 27 3 19 22 0.815 0.1309 0.1309 — —
2023-24 Duluth Marshall School (W) USHS-MN-W 27 13 23 36 1.333 0.2141 0.2141 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Brown D1 ECAC-W — 28 2 3 5 0.179
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.17
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.18
2025-26 · Brown
+4.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
90%
Club / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1573
Defenseman overall
#241
Defenseman born in 2007
#1161
in USHS-MN-W

D1 Comparables

Dani Sadek
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.46 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.61 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Grace Bizal
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.16 PPG
→ Boston College (0.27 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Kate Hallett
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.08 PPG
→ Harvard (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Katie Robinson
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.08 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.13 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Mekenzie Steffen
USHS-MN-W · 2012-13 · 1.04 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Dani Sadek
Ohio State ·
0.611 Strong D
actual D2/3 PPG
Grace Bizal
Boston College ·
0.268 Average D
actual D2/3 PPG
Kate Hallett
Harvard ·
0.100 Developing D
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.