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Luke Shipley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-08-08 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Victoria Royals WHL 18 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Victoria Royals WHL 66 3 13 16 0.242 0.1179 0.1247 0.5948 0.6292
2022-23 — WHL 62 9 22 31 0.500 0.2432 0.2459 1.2268 1.2404
2023-24 Brandon Wheat Kings WHL 65 9 27 36 0.554 0.2694 0.2591 1.3589 1.3070
2024-25 Brandon Wheat Kings WHL 60 20 37 57 0.950 0.4622 0.4199 2.3310 2.1175
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast FR 33 2 10 12 0.364
2024-25 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2023-24 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2022-23 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2021-22 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2020-21 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 AHA — 8 0 1 1 0.125

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

22%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
40%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2384
Defenseman overall
#530
Defenseman born in 2004
#451
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Harvard (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Connor Murphy
OHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Cornell (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Niklas Nevalainen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.23 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2015-16
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Shaquille Merasty
Adrian · 2011-12
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Patrick Stillar
SUNY Morrisville · 2010-11
1.154 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.