IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Luke Shipley Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-08-08 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Victoria Royals WHL 18 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Victoria Royals WHL 66 3 13 16 0.242 0.1179 0.1247 0.5940 0.6283
2022-23 — WHL 62 9 22 31 0.500 0.2432 0.2459 1.2251 1.2387
2023-24 Brandon Wheat Kings WHL 65 9 27 36 0.554 0.2694 0.2591 1.3570 1.3052
2024-25 Brandon Wheat Kings WHL 60 20 37 57 0.950 0.4622 0.4199 2.3278 2.1146
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2025-26 UMass Lowell D1 HockeyEast FR 33 2 10 12 0.364
2024-25 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2023-24 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2022-23 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2021-22 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125
2020-21 Mercyhurst ACHA_D1 — — 8 0 1 1 0.125

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

20%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
70%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2270
Defenseman overall
#504
Defenseman born in 2004
#630
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Van Voorhis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Denver (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Taylor Fleming
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Harvard (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Gravelle
St. Thomas · 2015-16
0.923 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2003-04
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nolan Redler
UMass Boston · 2015-16
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.