IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Dax Williams Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-09-28 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Calgary Hitmen WHL 5 0 1 1 0.200 0.0973 0.1085 0.4901 0.5463
2022-23 Calgary Hitmen WHL 33 1 4 5 0.151 0.0737 0.0787 0.3712 0.3964
2023-24 Calgary Hitmen WHL 67 4 16 20 0.298 0.1452 0.1479 0.7314 0.7451
2024-25 Calgary Hitmen WHL 68 2 18 20 0.294 0.1431 0.1381 0.7206 0.6956
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Holy Cross D1 AHA FR 35 2 5 7 0.200
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.13
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2025-26 · Holy Cross
+49.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%
NCAA D1
15%
NCAA D2/D3
52%
Age-Out / Club
15%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13109
Defenseman overall
#2611
Defenseman born in 2005
#1969
in WHL

D1 Comparables

Neal Goff
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.18 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.14 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Christian Neumann
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.29 PPG
→ UConn (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Tommy Davis
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.34 PPG
→ Princeton (0.29 D1 FR PPG)
0.20 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Joe Schuldt
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.08 PPG
→ Michigan Tech
0.05 No data
NCAAe PPG
Mike Preston
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.07 PPG
→ Army (0.16 D1 FR PPG)
0.04 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joe Hall
SUNY Oswego · 2005-06
0.560 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Josh Ranalli
Adrian · 2009-10
0.577 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Russell Anderson
Utica · 2006-07
1.059 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.