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Matt Bailey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-04-05 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Södertälje SK · Allsvenskan

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
1995-96 Des Moines Buccaneers USHL 34 11 17 28 0.824 0.4858 0.4663 2.4262 2.3289
2007-08 Neepawa Titans MJHL 56 13 15 28 0.500 0.0963 0.1080 0.3151 0.3534
2008-09 Tri-City Storm USHL 58 10 14 24 0.414 0.2441 0.2583 1.2191 1.2899
2009-10 Sioux Falls Stampede USHL 59 14 33 47 0.797 0.4699 0.4671 2.3469 2.3331
2017-18 Mora IK SHL 52 10 6 16 0.308 0.7692 0.7479
2018-19 Mora IK SHL 41 12 6 18 0.439 1.0975 1.0125
2019-20 ERC Ingolstadt DEL 48 9 16 25 0.521 1.3020 1.3020
2020-21 Södertälje SK Allsvenskan 38 2 10 12 0.316 0.7895 0.7895
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2013-14 Alaska Anchorage D1 WCHA SR 38 20 18 38 1.000
2012-13 Alaska Anchorage D1 JR 36 7 12 19 0.528
2011-12 Alaska Anchorage D1 SO 34 10 7 17 0.500
2010-11 Alaska Anchorage D1 FR 30 10 10 20 0.667
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.67
2010-11 · Alaska Anchorage
+103.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 26 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey
0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#2370
Forward overall
#121
Forward born in 1991

D2/3 Comparables

Southern New Hampshire · 2016-17
0.593 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Elmira · 2014-15
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Wilkes · 2016-17
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.