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Matt Vernon Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1998-03-29 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 NAHL 52 40 9 93.4% 1.94 7 0.9843 87.6%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Colorado College D1 12 4 6 90.5% 2.57 2
2021-22 Colorado College D1 16 3 9 90.8% 2.80
2020-21 Colorado College D1 10 0 6 86.5% 3.74 0
2019-20 Colorado College D1 29 8 16 90.1% 3.43 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Charles-Edward Gravel BCHL 93.0% 87.5% Mercyhurst 90.7% 3.22
Simon Bucheler NAHL 92.2% 86.7% Mercyhurst 90.1% 3.92
Ryan Keane NAHL 92.7% 86.8% UConn 100.0%
Lukas Swedin NAHL 94.0% 88.5% Bentley 91.7% 2.13
Jack Spicer NAHL 93.5% 88.2% Sacred Heart 100.0%
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Hunter Garvey NAHL 89.7% 86.8% St. Norbert D3 92.2% 1.90
Blake Carlson USPHL-Premier 94.7% 86.6% Framingham State D3 91.9% 3.26
Connor Strobel NCDC 92.3% 88.0% Plymouth State D3 81.8% 4.00
Tyler Franchi EHL 91.9% 87.7% Lebanon Valley D3 90.8% 3.98
Jackson Bernard EHL 90.4% 86.5% Adrian D3 95.7% 0.63

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.