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Lukas Swedin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2004-04-16 Country: Sweden
Signed Professionally
SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NAHL 42 28 14 94.0% 1.89 6 0.9843 88.5%
2023-24 NAHL 16 11 4 93.0% 1.72 3 0.9843 91.1%
2023-24 Muskegon Lumberjacks USHL 14 5 4 88.7% 3.24 0 0.9983 85.2%
2022-23 SHL 1.0100
2022-23 SHL-J20 27 17 10 91.5% 2.72 2 0.9600 87.4%
2021-22 SuperElit 30 19 10 92.1% 2.34 2 0.9600 91.1%
2021-22 SHL-J20 30 19 10 92.1% 2.34 2 0.9600 91.1%
2020-21 SuperElit 0.9600
2020-21 SHL-J20 0.9600
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Bentley D1 25 14 7 91.7% 2.13 2
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Jack Spicer NAHL 93.5% 88.2% Sacred Heart 100.0%
Ajeetpal Gundarah BCHL 93.1% 88.0% Sacred Heart 93.6% 1.90
Matt Vernon NAHL 93.4% 87.6% Colorado College 90.1% 3.43
Charles-Edward Gravel BCHL 93.0% 87.5% Mercyhurst 90.7% 3.22
Salvatore Evola NAHL 91.7% 86.4% Bowling Green 86.2% 4.25
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Lukas Bukatovs EHL 92.4% 88.2% Castleton D3 90.6% 2.75
Lucas Szyszka NAHL 91.0% 88.2% Lake Forest D3 88.0% 4.26
Matt Schoephoerster NAHL 91.1% 88.4% Endicott D3 90.6% 2.11
Jeremy Connor EHL 92.1% 88.4% Franklin Pierce D2 86.2% 6.24
Colten Lancaster NCDC 92.7% 87.9% Western New England D3 85.2% 5.41

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.