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Colten Lancaster Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1998-04-21 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 NCDC 29 17 10 92.7% 2.64 0 0.9400 79.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2022-23 Western New England D3 23 6 15 90.2% 3.79
2021-22 Western New England D3 19 3 13 89.8% 4.26
2019-20 Western New England D3 8 0 5 85.2% 5.41 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Ryan Keyes NCDC 92.6% 79.7% Merrimack 92.0% 2.22
Austin Elliott OHL 92.4% 79.6% UMass Lowell 88.5% 3.01
Jacob Steinman QMJHL 92.3% 79.8% Bowling Green 92.1% 2.14
Alexander Tracy USHL 89.6% 77.2% Minnesota 87.9% 2.24
Yan Shostak USHL 91.1% 78.6% St. Cloud State 89.7% 3.08
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Dolan Gilbert NA3HL 91.0% 78.2% Concordia D3 81.0% 9.00
Dean Hahn USPHL-Premier 91.6% 80.0% Salem State D3 88.9% 3.95
Nicholas Von Kaufmann OJHL 88.9% 79.9% Marian D3 88.6% 3.25
Logan Palmer USPHL-Premier 92.1% 80.5% Western New England D3 90.9% 3.11
Nolan Hildebrand BCHL 89.3% 77.6% Babson D3 87.8% 3.82

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.