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Carter McPhail Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 1998-12-04 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2018-19 NAHL 35 29 3 93.1% 2.12 1 0.9843 89.6%
2018-19 NTDP-U18 1 0 1 83.3% 7.37 0 0.9200 68.3%
2018-19 USHL 1 0 1 83.3% 7.37 0 0.9983 79.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2024-25 Mercyhurst D1 22 2 14 91.0% 3.44 0
2023-24 Miami D1 2 88.5% 4.71 0
2022-23 Miami D1
2021-22 Ferris State D1 2 0 0 92.0% 2.74
2020-21 Ferris State D1 2 0 2 83.9% 5.75 0
2019-20 Ferris State D1 9 1 6 88.6% 3.74 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
John Roberts NAHL 92.5% 89.0% Northern Michigan 100.0%
Lassi Lehti NAHL 92.0% 88.7% Alaska Fairbanks 83.3% 5.56
Quentin Miller BCHL 92.3% 89.4% Denver 91.6% 2.39
Callum Tung BCHL 91.7% 88.5% UConn 93.3% 2.01
Max Lacroix NAHL 91.4% 88.4% Boston University 87.2% 3.59
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Peter Sterling NAHL 90.7% 89.9% Endicott D3 93.3% 1.63
Ryan Henry NCDC 91.6% 89.5% Nichols D3 92.9% 2.39
Andrew Albano OJHL 91.7% 89.9% Norwich D3 82.4% 3.00
Riley Mastowski EHL 89.9% 88.0% Franklin Pierce D2 89.4% 3.80
Charles Watson EHL 93.2% 91.4% Castleton D3 89.7% 3.70

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.