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Julian Molinaro Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-12-02 Country: Canada
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 AJHL 45 27 16 91.6% 2.60 6 0.9700 85.8%
2022-23 OJHL 20 15 5 90.8% 2.15 1 0.9700 87.8%
2021-22 OJHL 33 4 27 88.7% 4.47 1 0.9700 89.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2024-25 Northern Michigan D1 1 0 0 95.7% 1.81 0
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Josh Fleming QMJHL 90.8% 85.6% Penn State 92.4% 2.61
Kristoffer Eberly USHL 89.3% 84.6% Ohio State 91.1% 2.98
Merek Pipes MJHL 92.4% 86.4% Union 66.7% 15.52
Tyler Krivtsov NAHL 90.8% 87.7% Alaska Anchorage 89.2% 3.12
Jake Barczewski USHL 90.4% 86.0% Canisius 90.5% 2.92
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Collin Lemanski NA3HL 93.6% 86.1% St. Norbert D3 100.0%
Topher Chirico SJHL 90.8% 86.2% Wentworth D3 91.6% 3.05
Sean Guerin NOJHL 90.2% 84.5% Southern New Hampshire D2 90.7% 3.28
Owen Carlson NA3HL 92.1% 84.2% Lawrence D3 90.2% 3.41
Mason Meyer USPHL-Premier 92.8% 87.3% Rivier D3 91.4% 2.07

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.