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Tommy Aitken Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2002-08-30 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2022-23 NAHL 15 4 7 90.5% 2.57 0 0.9843 84.1%
2021-22 NCDC 1 1 0 86.7% 3.00 0 0.9400 82.2%
2021-22 NAHL 25 5 14 86.1% 4.18 1 0.9843 85.9%
2020-21 NAHL 21 9 7 91.0% 2.54 1 0.9843 89.6%
2020-21 NTDP-U18 1 1 0 86.4% 2.87 0 0.9200 79.5%
2020-21 USHL 1 1 0 86.4% 2.87 0 0.9980 86.2%
2018-19 USHL 2 0 0 85.7% 3.38 0 0.9980 97.0%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 Skidmore D3 15 9 4 91.6% 2.55 0
2024-25 Skidmore D3 9 2 4 89.5% 3.01 1
2023-24 Stevenson D3
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
John Hawthorne BCHL 91.8% 83.9% Northern Michigan 88.2% 3.10
Gergely Orosz NAHL 91.9% 85.4% Alaska Anchorage 91.5% 2.75
Rorke Applebee BCHL 90.2% 83.3% Lake Superior State 90.7% 3.00
Beni Halasz NAHL 92.1% 85.2% Northern Michigan 91.9% 2.32
Nick Bevilacqua NCDC 94.8% 83.4% Bentley 95.2% 0.99
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Duncan Rolleman USPHL-Premier 92.5% 83.2% Wilkes D3 90.0% 3.84
Jeff Zero NA3HL 95.0% 83.7% Elmira D3 100.0%
Cameron Smith OJHL 91.4% 84.0% Curry D3 87.0% 2.11
Matthew O'Donnell NAHL 88.6% 84.8% Aurora D3 91.0% 2.97
Tyler Sayger NCDC 89.4% 83.4% King's D3 90.5% 4.40

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.