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Carson Frye Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2003-08-18 Country: USA
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2023-24 EHL 31 20 8 92.9% 2.30 2 0.9400 85.8%
2022-23 USPHL-Premier 20 12 4 92.2% 2.44 2 0.9400 86.5%
2021-22 USPHL-Premier 9 7 0 93.1% 2.00 2 0.9400 90.5%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Nick Bevilacqua NCDC 94.8% 86.1% Bentley 95.2% 0.99
Colin Winn BCHL 90.2% 86.1% St. Lawrence 88.3% 4.50
Malachi Klassen MJHL 91.7% 85.4% Holy Cross 3.04
Connor Murphy CCHL 91.7% 84.9% Northeastern 68.8% 7.04
Michael Sochan BCHL 90.6% 86.1% Robert Morris 100.0%
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Duncan Rolleman USPHL-Premier 92.5% 86.2% Wilkes D3 90.0% 3.84
Jeff Zero NA3HL 95.0% 85.9% Elmira D3 100.0%
Ben Cunneen USPHL-Premier 92.9% 86.2% Post D2 89.2% 4.30
Dane Couture NAHL 88.1% 86.3% Concordia D3 87.3% 2.94
Tyler Sayger NCDC 89.4% 86.1% King's D3 90.5% 4.40

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.