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Chad Lowe Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Goalie DOB: 2005-03-31 Country: USA
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
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NCAA Division I

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence

NCAA D3 / D2

Save % Equivalency
Goals Against Average
Base SV%
Year Adj
Source
Confidence
Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw SV%  ·  Solid blue = age-adj SVe%  ·  Green = actual college SV%
Goalie Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP W L SV% GAA SO SVe Factor Age-Adj SV%
2024-25 NCDC 3 1 1 87.2% 4.68 0 0.9400 81.0%
2024-25 USPHL-Premier 13 9 4 93.5% 2.29 0 0.9400 84.4%
2023-24 USPHL-Premier 11 8 2 93.7% 2.01 3 0.9400 91.8%
SVe Factor = save% equivalency relative to NCAA D1 average  ·  COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div GP W L SV% GAA SO
2025-26 SUNY Morrisville D3 16 90.2% 4.99
Goalie Comparables (D1)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D1.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College NCAA SV% NCAA GAA
Conor Callaghan USHL 88.4% 81.0% Princeton 85.3% 5.02
Justin Robbins USHL 87.4% 80.6% Arizona State 92.3% 4.00
Remington Keopple USHL 89.3% 82.4% Cornell 85.2% 3.10
Axel Mangbo USHL 89.0% 82.3% Vermont 85.7% 5.00
Jaxson Stauber USHL 88.3% 82.2% Minnesota 93.3% 1.00
Goalie Comparables (D2/D3)

Historical goalies with similar age-adjusted SVe profiles who went on to play NCAA D2/D3.

Name Junior League Junior SV% Adj SVe College Div SV% GAA
Brandon Shantz NA3HL 89.7% 82.6% Plymouth State D3 92.1% 3.00
Carson Ironside AJHL 87.8% 84.2% Albertus Magnus D3 89.3% 2.76
Clément Labillois SJHL 88.9% 84.4% Assumption D2 93.6% 2.08
Jackson Fellner SJHL 89.9% 85.7% Alvernia D3 92.4% 2.68
Dylan Dewatcher OJHL 86.3% 81.7% Western Connecticut D3 85.8% 5.91

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.