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Matt Murphy Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1995-05-01 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Univ. of New Brunswick · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2011-12 Val-d'Or Foreurs QMJHL 61 3 13 16 0.262 0.1289 0.1422 0.7004 0.7729
2012-13 QMJHL 69 2 31 33 0.478 0.2350 0.2471 1.2772 1.3430
2013-14 Halifax Mooseheads QMJHL 64 10 26 36 0.562 0.2764 0.2762 1.5020 1.5009
2014-15 QMJHL 59 8 22 30 0.508 0.2498 0.2368 1.3578 1.2874
2015-16 QMJHL 68 11 40 51 0.750 0.3685 0.3320 2.0027 1.8043
2016-17 Univ. of New Brunswick USports-M 30 3 10 13 0.433 0.2286 0.2441 1.2700 1.3563
2017-18 Univ. of New Brunswick USports-M 29 3 7 10 0.345 0.1819 0.1860 1.0106 1.0334
2018-19 Univ. of New Brunswick USports-M 28 7 11 18 0.643 0.3392 0.3291 1.8843 1.8283
2019-20 Univ. of New Brunswick USports-M 29 6 16 22 0.759 0.4002 0.4002 2.2235 2.2235
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Northland D1 JR 9 0 2 2 0.222
2019-20 Northland D1 SO 26 3 2 5 0.192
2018-19 Northland D1 FR 20 0 2 2 0.100
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.20
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.10
2018-19 · Northland
-49.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
98%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2483
Defenseman overall
#508
Defenseman born in 1995

D2/3 Comparables

St. Norbert · 2001-02
1.125 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2010-11
1.200 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Adrian · 2006-07
1.586 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.