IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Aaron Harstad Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1992-04-27 Country: USA
2011 · Round 6, Pick #187  ·  Winnipeg Jets Winnipeg Jets
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2008-09 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 10 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2009-10 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 47 2 6 8 0.170 0.1004 0.1051 0.5112 0.5353
2010-11 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 51 7 14 21 0.412 0.2429 0.2421 1.2368 1.2328
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2014-15 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 30 5 4 9 0.300
2013-14 Colorado College D1 NCHC — 37 2 7 9 0.243
2012-13 Colorado College D1 WCHA-orig — 31 2 4 6 0.194
2011-12 Colorado College D1 WCHA-orig — 29 0 6 6 0.207
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2011-12 · Colorado College
+17.0% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#10975
Defenseman overall
#1403
Defenseman born in 1992
#3344
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Jeff Taylor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Union (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matt Benning
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.27 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Dan Renouf
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.49 PPG
→ Maine (0.32 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Anthony Iacullo
Saint Anselm · 2015-16
0.655 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Vadim Kiryakov
Buffalo State · 2018-19
0.800 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Bayley Marshall
Aurora · 2015-16
0.308 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.