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Luke Moffatt Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1992-06-11 Country: USA
2010 · Round 7, Pick #197  ·  Colorado Avalanche Colorado Avalanche
Signed Professionally
Frölunda HC · SHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2008-09 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 25 4 10 14 0.560 0.4162 0.4289 2.0896 2.1533
2009-10 NTDP-U18 67 19 20 39 0.582 0.4327 0.4228 2.1720 2.1221
2014-15 Frölunda HC SHL 10 0 2 2 0.200 0.5000 0.5898 2.6097 3.0785
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2013-14 Michigan D1 BigTen SR 34 13 12 25 0.735
2012-13 Michigan D1 CCHA-orig JR 38 8 13 21 0.553
2011-12 Michigan D1 CCHA-orig SO 40 6 10 16 0.400
2010-11 Michigan D1 CCHA-orig FR 36 5 8 13 0.361
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.36
2010-11 · Michigan
-0.8% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#7816
Forward overall
#356
Forward born in 1992

D2/3 Comparables

Hamilton · 2001-02
1.400 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Oswego · 2002-03
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.