Bryan Lerg Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1986-01-20 Country: USA

Set Commitment

School

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2003-04	USNTDP Juniors	NAHL	11	5	7	12	1.091	0.4322	0.4582	1.1453	1.2142
2016-17	Rögle BK	SHL	52	20	13	33	0.635	1.5865	1.1803	—	—
2017-18	Rögle BK	SHL	52	19	11	30	0.577	1.4423	1.0269	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2007-08	Michigan State	D1	BigTen	SR	42	20	19	39	0.929
2006-07	Michigan State	D1	BigTen	JR	41	23	13	36	0.878
2005-06	Michigan State	D1	BigTen	SO	45	15	23	38	0.844
2004-05	Michigan State	D1	BigTen	FR	41	10	5	15	0.366

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.39

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

0.37

2004-05 · Michigan State

-6.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 23 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

100%

NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#833

Forward overall

#24

Forward born in 1986

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Ouderkirk

Norwich · 2015-16

0.966 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

Dustin Norman

Wisconsin-River Falls · 2002-03

0.850 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

John Barrett

Wilkes · 2016-17

0.000 No data

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.