IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Chad Kolarik Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1986-01-26 Country: USA
Signed Professionally
Adler Mannheim · DEL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2003-04 USNTDP Juniors NAHL 10 3 4 7 0.700 0.2572 0.2729 0.7389 0.7840
2013-14 Linköping HC SHL 53 30 18 48 0.906 2.2642 2.0572 11.8181 10.7375
2014-15 Avangard Omsk KHL 29 7 9 16 0.552 1.3792 1.2772 7.6017 7.0397
2016-17 Adler Mannheim DEL 50 25 16 41 0.820 2.0500 1.8598 6.9521 6.3070
2017-18 Adler Mannheim DEL 47 23 23 46 0.979 2.4468 2.1768 8.2976 7.3820
2018-19 Adler Mannheim DEL 46 21 27 48 1.044 2.6088 2.0841 8.8470 7.0676
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2007-08 Michigan D1 BigTen SR 39 30 26 56 1.436
2006-07 Michigan D1 BigTen JR 41 18 27 45 1.098
2005-06 Michigan D1 BigTen SO 41 12 26 38 0.927
2004-05 Michigan D1 BigTen FR 42 18 17 35 0.833
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.83
2004-05 · Michigan
+256.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 20 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey
0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#1289
Forward overall
#34
Forward born in 1986

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.