Kyle Rau Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1992-10-24 Country: USA

2011 · Round 3, Pick #91 ·

Florida Panthers

Set Commitment

School

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

Show:

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2010-11	Sioux Falls Stampede	USHL	11	4	6	10	0.909	0.5363	0.5477	2.7304	2.7887
2024-25	Shanghai Dragons	KHL	20	6	5	11	0.550	1.3750	1.0135	7.5783	5.5857

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2014-15	Minnesota	D1	BigTen	SR	39	20	21	41	1.051
2013-14	Minnesota	D1	BigTen	JR	41	14	26	40	0.976
2012-13	Minnesota	D1	WCHA-orig	SO	40	15	25	40	1.000
2011-12	Minnesota	D1	WCHA-orig	FR	40	18	25	43	1.075

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.51

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

1.07

2011-12 · Minnesota

+110.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

100%

NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#1378

Forward overall

#84

Forward born in 1992

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm

Neumann · 2003-04

1.800 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Arkhip Ledenkov

St. Scholastica · 2018-19

1.636 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Brandon Osmundson

Utica · 2018-19

1.448 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.