Casey Bailey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-10-27 Country: USA

Set Commitment

School

Type

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

Notes (optional)

Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2009-10	Alberni Valley Bulldogs	BCHL	51	13	11	24	0.471	0.1753	0.1832	0.6857	0.7165
2010-11	Alberni Valley Bulldogs	BCHL	60	28	30	58	0.967	0.3601	0.3594	1.4086	1.4059
2011-12	Omaha Lancers	USHL	60	27	32	59	0.983	0.6044	0.5590	2.8970	2.6796
2018-19	HC Slovan Bratislava	KHL	45	1	4	5	0.111	0.2777	0.2825	—	—
2019-20	Växjö Lakers HC	SHL	28	7	4	11	0.393	0.9823	0.9823	—	—
2020-21	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	37	20	24	44	1.189	1.3005	1.3005	—	—
2021-22	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	50	23	18	41	0.820	0.8968	0.8133	—	—
2022-23	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	53	12	27	39	0.736	0.8047	0.7061	—	—
2023-24	ERC Ingolstadt	DEL	20	4	6	10	0.500	0.5468	0.4517	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2014-15	Penn State	D1	BigTen	JR	37	22	18	40	1.081
2013-14	Penn State	D1	BigTen	SO	32	9	4	13	0.406
2012-13	Penn State	D1	—	FR	27	14	13	27	1.000

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.41

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

1.00

2012-13 · Penn State

+143.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

18%

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

82%

Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2915

Forward overall

#142

Forward born in 1991

D2/3 Comparables

Lucas Signoretti

Buffalo State · 2023-24

1.120 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Ryan Reifler

Elmira · 2017-18

1.067 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Zach Dill

Salem State · 2021-22

1.111 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.