Casey Bailey Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1991-10-27 Country: USA

Set Commitment

School

Type

Date (optional)

Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2009-10	Alberni Valley Bulldogs	BCHL	51	13	11	24	0.471	0.1813	0.1895	0.6849	0.7157
2010-11	Alberni Valley Bulldogs	BCHL	60	28	30	58	0.967	0.3725	0.3718	1.4068	1.4041
2011-12	Omaha Lancers	USHL	60	27	32	59	0.983	0.5800	0.5365	2.9532	2.7316
2018-19	HC Slovan Bratislava	KHL	45	1	4	5	0.111	0.2777	0.2825	1.5308	1.5573
2019-20	Växjö Lakers HC	SHL	28	7	4	11	0.393	0.9823	0.9823	5.1268	5.1268
2020-21	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	37	20	24	44	1.189	2.9730	2.9730	10.0823	10.0823
2021-22	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	50	23	18	41	0.820	2.0500	1.8591	6.9521	6.3047
2022-23	Iserlohn Roosters	DEL	53	12	27	39	0.736	1.8395	1.6140	6.2383	5.4737
2023-24	ERC Ingolstadt	DEL	20	4	6	10	0.500	1.2500	1.0327	4.2391	3.5021

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2014-15	Penn State	D1	BigTen	JR	37	22	18	40	1.081
2013-14	Penn State	D1	BigTen	SO	32	9	4	13	0.406
2012-13	Penn State	D1	BigTen	FR	27	14	13	27	1.000

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.40

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

1.00

2012-13 · Penn State

+148.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

100%

NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#2968

Forward overall

#145

Forward born in 1991

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm

Neumann · 2003-04

1.800 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Arkhip Ledenkov

St. Scholastica · 2018-19

1.636 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Brandon Osmundson

Utica · 2018-19

1.448 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.