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Ethan Spaxman Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1996-11-27 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Brock Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 Fargo Force USHL 2 0 0 0 0.000
2014-15 USHL 55 2 19 21 0.382 0.2252 0.2320 1.1467 1.1813
2016-17 Waterloo Black Hawks USHL 29 2 10 12 0.414 0.2441 0.2277 1.2428 1.1591
2018-19 Brock Univ. USports-M 21 3 7 10 0.476 0.2512 0.2635 1.3957 1.4643
2019-20 Brock Univ. USports-M 10 1 3 4 0.400 0.2110 0.2110 1.1724 1.1724
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2016-17 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast SO 14 1 3 4 0.286
2015-16 Merrimack D1 HockeyEast FR 34 2 2 4 0.118
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.12
2015-16 · Merrimack
-46.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

5%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
92%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4928
Defenseman overall
#903
Defenseman born in 1996

D1 Comparables

QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Brown (0.04 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Developing D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

St. Scholastica · 2004-05
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2009-10
1.071 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Neumann · 2023-24
1.308 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.