Patrick Harper Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-07-29 Country: USA

Set Commitment

School

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2014-15	U.S. National U17 Team	NTDP-U18	4	0	1	1	0.250	0.1938	0.2004	0.9305	0.9622
2015-16	Omaha Lancers	USHL	9	1	3	4	0.444	0.2732	0.2915	1.3093	1.3971
2021-22	HPK	Liiga	22	2	6	8	0.364	0.9090	1.0030	—	—
2022-23	—	Allsvenskan	48	6	15	21	0.438	1.0938	1.1440	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2019-20	Boston University	D1	HockeyEast	—	32	14	23	37	1.156
2018-19	Boston University	D1	HockeyEast	—	38	6	14	20	0.526
2017-18	Boston University	D1	HockeyEast	—	20	8	13	21	1.050
2016-17	Boston University	D1	HockeyEast	—	38	13	24	37	0.974

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.22

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

0.97

2016-17 · Boston University

+346.0% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

100%

NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Howe

Fitchburg State · 2024-25

0.700 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

Connor Armour

Adrian · 2011-12

1.357 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Joshua Burke

Amherst · 2018-19

0.692 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.