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Patrick Harper Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-07-29 Country: USA
2016 · Round 5, Pick #138  ·  Nashville Predators Nashville Predators
Signed Professionally
Allsvenskan

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 4 0 1 1 0.250 0.1858 0.1921 0.9328 0.9646
2015-16 Omaha Lancers USHL 9 1 3 4 0.444 0.2622 0.2798 1.3347 1.4242
2021-22 HPK Liiga 22 2 6 8 0.364 0.9090 1.0030 3.1255 3.4487
2022-23 — Allsvenskan 48 6 15 21 0.438 1.0938 1.1440 4.1046 4.2929
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 32 14 23 37 1.156
2018-19 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 38 6 14 20 0.526
2017-18 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 20 8 13 21 1.050
2016-17 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 38 13 24 37 0.974
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.21
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.97
2016-17 · Boston University
+364.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey
0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.