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Casey Dornbach Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-07-07 Country: USA
Signed Professionally
Jukurit · Liiga

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2014-15 Edina High USHS-MN 25 11 16 27 1.080 0.2907 0.2810 0.2623 0.2536
2016-17 Lincoln Stars USHL 58 11 13 24 0.414 0.2544 0.2450 1.2191 1.1741
2017-18 Lincoln Stars USHL 59 21 35 56 0.949 0.5835 0.5330 2.7965 2.5545
2024-25 Jukurit Liiga 13 0 7 7 0.538 1.3462 1.2946 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Denver D1 NCHC — 40 13 21 34 0.850
2021-22 Harvard D1 ECAC — 34 8 17 25 0.735
2020-21 Harvard D1 ECAC — 0 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Harvard D1 ECAC SO 31 12 24 36 1.161
2018-19 Harvard D1 ECAC FR 33 7 22 29 0.879
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.36
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.88
2018-19 · Harvard
+145.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey
0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#2083
Forward overall
#119
Forward born in 1997

D2/3 Comparables

Rihards Marenis
Aurora · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Dill
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.