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Lucas Breault Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-05-20 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
York Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2015-16 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 51 7 10 17 0.333 0.0817 0.0905 0.2295 0.2542
2016-17 St. Michael's Buzzers OJHL 47 14 40 54 1.149 0.2816 0.2993 0.7910 0.8407
2017-18 — USHL 59 6 9 15 0.254 0.1500 0.1510 0.7635 0.7687
2019-20 Salmon Arm Silverbacks BCHL 23 9 11 20 0.870 0.3351 0.3351 1.2655 1.2655
2020-21 York Univ. USports-M 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 York Univ. USports-M 16 4 8 12 0.750 0.3957 0.4076 2.1982 2.2646
2022-23 York Univ. USports-M 20 3 7 10 0.500 0.2638 0.2583 1.4655 1.4352
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Union D1 ECAC SO 12 0 2 2 0.167
2018-19 Union D1 ECAC FR 19 2 2 4 0.210
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.18
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.21
2018-19 · Union
+16.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

10%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
82%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13669
Forward overall
#621
Forward born in 1999

D2/3 Comparables

Shaquille Merasty
Adrian · 2015-16
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2017-18
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Devin Panzeca
SUNY Potsdam · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.