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Buster Larsson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1998-10-16 Country: Sweden
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 NCDC 30 9 13 22 0.733 0.2066 0.2097 1.5882 1.6015
2018-19 NCDC 50 21 38 59 1.180 0.3325 0.3185 0.9553 0.9151
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Utica D3 UCHC SR 29 11 19 30 1.034
2021-22 Utica D3 UCHC JR 29 16 30 46 1.586
2020-21 Utica D3 UCHC SO 10 6 7 13 1.300
2019-20 Utica D3 UCHC FR 28 7 12 19 0.679
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.68
2019-20 · Utica
+188.3% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
0%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11934
Forward overall
#405
Forward born in 1998
#46
in NCDC

D1 Comparables

NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Air Force (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.26 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Sacred Heart (0.40 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Elmira · 2000-01
0.824 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Utica · 2015-16
0.750 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
St. Norbert · 2000-01
0.963 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.