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Ty Smilanic Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-01-20 Country: USA
2020 NHL Draft Round 3, Pick #74  ·  Florida Panthers Florida Panthers
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — NTDP-U18 55 21 18 39 0.709 0.5498 0.5554 2.6392 2.6661
2019-20 — NTDP-U18 34 7 15 22 0.647 0.5018 0.5018 2.4084 2.4084
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Wisconsin D1 BigTen — 14 1 1 2 0.143
2021-22 Quinnipiac D1 ECAC SO 41 13 10 23 0.561
2020-21 Quinnipiac D1 ECAC FR 29 14 7 21 0.724
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.52
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2020-21 · Quinnipiac
+40.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

88%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#7179
Forward overall
#333
Forward born in 2002

D1 Comparables

Patrick Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ St. Cloud State (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Nick Schmaltz
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.68 D1 FR PPG)
0.54 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Hitchcock
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.59 PPG
→ Yale (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.47 Average
NCAAe PPG
Connor Hurley
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ Notre Dame (0.34 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Reifler
Elmira · 2017-18
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Lucas Signoretti
Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.