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Luke Tuch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-03-07 Country: USA
2020 · Round 2, Pick #47  ·  Montreal Canadiens Montreal Canadiens
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — NTDP-U18 48 10 13 23 0.479 0.3562 0.3621 1.7881 1.8176
2019-20 — NTDP-U18 47 15 15 30 0.638 0.4744 0.4744 2.3818 2.3818
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Boston University D1 HockeyEast JR 39 10 20 30 0.769
2022-23 Boston University D1 HockeyEast SO 40 9 11 20 0.500
2021-22 Boston University D1 HockeyEast FR 26 6 4 10 0.385
2020-21 Boston University D1 HockeyEast — 16 6 5 11 0.688
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.69
2020-21 · Boston University
+121.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

68%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
32%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Ryan Hitchcock
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Yale (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Minnesota
0.32 No data
NCAAe PPG
Seamus Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.74 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Alex Tuch
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Boston College (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Austin Poganski
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.37 D1 FR PPG)
0.48 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gage Dill
Curry · 2018-19
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Craig Kennedy
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.353 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Tarantino
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.