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Cade Neilson Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2001-05-15 Country: England
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 46 9 18 27 0.587 0.2157 0.2157 0.6196 0.6196
2020-21 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 55 12 33 45 0.818 0.3006 0.3006 0.8636 0.8636
2021-22 Aberdeen Wings NAHL 58 26 49 75 1.293 0.4751 0.4488 1.3649 1.2895
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA — 31 5 14 19 0.613
2022-23 Alaska Fairbanks D1 WCHA — 18 0 2 2 0.111
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.38
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.11
2022-23 · Alaska Fairbanks
-71.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

45%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
35%
Age-Out / Club
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9488
Forward overall
#414
Forward born in 2001
#217
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Todd Skirving
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ RIT (0.65 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Eric Scheid
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
T.J. Sarcona
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.06 PPG
→ Niagara (0.58 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Colby Audette
Becker · 2018-19
0.650 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
John Williams
Curry · 2007-08
1.222 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Darren McCormick
SUNY Cortland · 2013-14
1.320 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.