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Carter Mazur Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-03-28 Country: USA
2021 · Round 3, Pick #70  ·  Detroit Red Wings Detroit Red Wings
Signed Professionally

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2018-19 — NTDP-U18 7 0 3 3 0.429 0.3186 0.3248 1.5993 1.6303
2019-20 — USHL 47 6 7 13 0.277 0.1632 0.1632 0.8307 0.8307
2020-21 — USHL 47 20 24 44 0.936 0.5523 0.5523 2.8118 2.8118
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2022-23 Denver D1 NCHC — 40 22 15 37 0.925
2021-22 Denver D1 NCHC — 41 14 24 38 0.927
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.93
2021-22 · Denver
+233.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

52%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

D1 Comparables

Ryan Hitchcock
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Yale (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.32 Average
NCAAe PPG
Cullen Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.50 PPG
→ Minnesota
0.32 No data
NCAAe PPG
Seamus Malone
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.54 PPG
→ Wisconsin (0.74 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Alex Tuch
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.46 PPG
→ Boston College (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Liam Pecararo
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.36 PPG
→ Maine (0.36 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Chris Atkinson
Curry · 2005-06
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Caden Smith
Chatham · 2019-20
1.292 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.