IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Ian Spencer Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-09-09 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Minot Minotauros NAHL 2 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2023-24 Minot Minotauros NAHL 47 4 16 20 0.425 0.1511 0.1532 0.4467 0.4529
2024-25 Minot Minotauros NAHL 58 25 46 71 1.224 0.4348 0.4180 1.2852 1.2356
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Trinity D3 NESCAC — 18 2 5 7 0.389
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.27
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.39
2025-26 · Trinity
+45.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
40%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#11355
Forward overall
#491
Forward born in 2004
#337
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Jared VanWormer
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.27 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Developing
NCAAe PPG
A.J. Reid
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.18 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tim Bonner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.89 PPG
→ Yale
0.48 No data
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Chris Berry
Wisconsin-Superior · 2005-06
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Shayne Morrissey
Neumann · 2011-12
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Ouderkirk
Norwich · 2017-18
0.966 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.