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Sebastian Speck Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-11-16 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Oklahoma Warriors NAHL 41 5 6 11 0.268 0.0986 0.1009 0.2832 0.2898
2024-25 — NAHL 54 21 35 56 1.037 0.3810 0.3698 1.0946 1.0626
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Endicott D3 CNE FR 27 8 17 25 0.926
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.93
2025-26 · Endicott
+312.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

48%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
25%
Age-Out / Club
18%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#17028
Forward overall
#836
Forward born in 2004
#933
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Gerald Mayhew
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Joe Lewis
Finlandia · 2003-04
1.478 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Russell Anderson
Utica · 2007-08
1.059 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Kris Heeres
SUNY Geneseo · 2001-02
1.042 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.