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Jake Stevens Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2005-10-20 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 Maine Nordiques NAHL 2 1 0 1 0.500 0.1837 0.1965 0.5278 0.5645
2024-25 Mercer Chiefs NCDC 48 6 49 55 1.146 0.4671 0.4763 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Middlebury D3 NESCAC FR 27 3 15 18 0.667
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.34
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.67
2025-26 · Middlebury
+93.8% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Club / ACHA
18%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#599
Defenseman overall
#45
Defenseman born in 2005
#4
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Ryan Murray
WHL · 2012-13 · 0.74 PPG
→ Hamline (0.28 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Lowney
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.43 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Will Butcher
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ Denver (0.42 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Strong D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jordan Fralich
St. Scholastica · 2014-15
0.518 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Heintz
Adrian · 2016-17
1.179 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryce Grandbois
Worcester State · 2022-23
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.