IcePath icepath.io · Hockey Analytics
← New Search ↗ Social Card

Michael Lynch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-06-08 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Pingree NE-Prep 29 1 6 7 0.241 0.0466 0.0466 0.1105 0.1105
2021-22 Pingree NE-Prep 26 16 14 30 1.154 0.2226 0.2226 0.5280 0.5280
2022-23 Valley Jr. Warriors EHL 46 16 7 23 0.500 0.0732 0.0781 0.2452 0.2616
2023-24 Islanders Hockey Club NCDC 33 11 8 19 0.576 0.1331 0.1326 — —
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 UMass Boston D3 — SO 27 5 6 11 0.407
2024-25 UMass Boston D3 NEHC FR 24 3 4 7 0.292
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.29
2024-25 · UMass Boston
+207.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

32%
NCAA D2/D3
0%
Club / ACHA
22%
Other

NCAAe Rankings

#18086
Forward overall
#923
Forward born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Tyler Spezia
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.26 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Greiner
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.17 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.38 D1 FR PPG)
0.10 Average
NCAAe PPG
Matt Pohlkamp
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.41 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Average
NCAAe PPG
Matthew Hansen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.25 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Zach Saar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.33 PPG
→ Penn State (0.33 D1 FR PPG)
0.19 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jerad Tafoya
Milwaukee School of Engineering · 2011-12
0.714 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
David Titanic
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.333 Developing
actual D2/3 PPG
Stefano Alonzi
SUNY Cortland · 2013-14
0.680 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.