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Carter Schade Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2003-03-07 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Lincoln Stars USHL 5 2 1 3 0.600 0.3688 0.3688 1.7677 1.7677
2020-21 Lincoln Stars USHL 52 2 14 16 0.308 0.1891 0.1891 0.9065 0.9065
2021-22 Lincoln Stars USHL 55 4 27 31 0.564 0.3464 0.3445 1.6605 1.6513
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Penn State D1 BigTen SR 34 0 4 4 0.118
2024-25 Penn State D1 BigTen JR 35 0 9 9 0.257
2023-24 Penn State D1 BigTen SO 21 0 0 0 0.000
2022-23 Penn State D1 BigTen FR 36 0 9 9 0.250
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.25
2022-23 · Penn State
-23.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

85%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
5%
Age-Out / Club
10%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#3477
Defenseman overall
#874
Defenseman born in 2003
#1748
in USHL

D1 Comparables

Matias Cleland
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing D
NCAAe PPG
Jeff Taylor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.47 PPG
→ Union (0.39 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Jaccob Slavin
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.53 PPG
→ Colorado College (0.78 D1 FR PPG)
0.33 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Clay Anderson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ Harvard (0.21 D1 FR PPG)
0.23 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Gavin Bayreuther
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.55 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.95 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Pat Egan
SUNY Plattsburgh · 2013-14
1.080 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
John Moncovich
Utica · 2016-17
0.864 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Geordan Buffoline
New England · 2017-18
1.667 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.