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Bud Winter Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-03-12 Country: USA
No commitment set

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 33 1 1 2 0.061 0.0225 0.0231 0.0642 0.0660
2018-19 — NAHL 54 13 10 23 0.426 0.1581 0.1555 0.4509 0.4436
2019-20 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 47 9 19 28 0.596 0.2212 0.2212 0.6307 0.6307
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Saint Mary's D3 MIAC SR 26 11 8 19 0.731
2022-23 Saint Mary's D3 MIAC JR 24 5 7 12 0.500
2021-22 Saint Mary's D3 MIAC SO 23 5 6 11 0.478
2020-21 Saint Mary's D3 — FR 11 6 6 12 1.091
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
1.09
2020-21 · Saint Mary's
+1142.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
20%
NCAA D2/D3
22%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#26608
Forward overall
#1122
Forward born in 1999
#3015
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

Stanislav Dzakhov
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.16 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ryan Dau
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Air Force (0.25 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tayler Munson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.18 Average
NCAAe PPG
Ben Ostlie
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.14 No data
NCAAe PPG
Alexander Dahl
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jake Blackwell
Fredonia · 2018-19
0.550 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Brett Corcoran
St. Scholastica · 2007-08
0.643 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Darren McCormick
SUNY Cortland · 2012-13
1.320 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.