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Bud Winter Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1999-03-12 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2017-18 Corpus Christi IceRays NAHL 33 1 1 2 0.061 0.0223 0.0229 0.0640 0.0658
2018-19 NAHL 54 13 10 23 0.426 0.1565 0.1540 0.4495 0.4422
2019-20 St. Cloud Norsemen NAHL 47 9 19 28 0.596 0.2189 0.2189 0.6288 0.6288
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2023-24 Saint Mary's (MN) D3 MIAC SR 26 11 8 19 0.731
2022-23 Saint Mary's (MN) D3 MIAC JR 24 5 7 12 0.500
2021-22 Saint Mary's (MN) D3 MIAC SO 23 5 6 11 0.478
2020-21 Saint Mary's (MN) D1 MIAC FR 11 6 6 12 1.091
2020-21 Saint Mary's (MN) D3 MIAC FR 11 6 6 12 1.091
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.09
before college
Actual FR PPG
1.09
2020-21 · Saint Mary's (MN)
+1155.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
35%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#33527
Forward overall
#1810
Forward born in 1999
#3254
in NAHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.27 PPG
→ Niagara (0.44 D1 FR PPG)
0.15 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.31 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.35 D1 FR PPG)
0.17 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.23 PPG
→ Notre Dame
0.13 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.38 PPG
→ St. Lawrence (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.39 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.12 D1 FR PPG)
0.22 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Fredonia · 2018-19
0.550 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
SUNY Cortland · 2012-13
1.320 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Post · 2018-19
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.