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Matt Watkins Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1986-11-22 Country: Canada
2005 · Round 5, Pick #160  ·  Dallas Stars Dallas Stars
Signed Professionally
KooKoo · Liiga

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2002-03 Humboldt Broncos SJHL 2 0 1 1 0.500 0.1281 0.1486 0.3769 0.4371
2004-05 Vernon Vipers BCHL 60 36 38 74 1.233 0.4752 0.5003 1.7948 1.8895
2015-16 KooKoo Liiga 58 2 10 12 0.207 0.5172 0.4514 1.7785 1.5522
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2008-09 North Dakota D1 NCHC SR 41 7 7 14 0.342
2007-08 North Dakota D1 NCHC JR 43 8 10 18 0.419
2006-07 North Dakota D1 NCHC SO 38 6 11 17 0.447
2005-06 North Dakota D1 NCHC FR 46 5 4 9 0.196
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.31
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.20
2005-06 · North Dakota
-36.4% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#5949
Forward overall
#222
Forward born in 1986

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2016-17
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Shaquille Merasty
Adrian · 2015-16
1.357 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tim Coffman
Utica · 2022-23
1.480 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.