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Kaden Muir Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 2004-05-09 Country: USA
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 U.S. National U17 Team NTDP-U18 12 1 1 2 0.167 0.1293 0.1293 0.6204 0.6204
2021-22 — NTDP-U18 50 1 5 6 0.120 0.0930 0.0911 0.4466 0.4372
2022-23 Tri-City Storm USHL 24 0 3 3 0.125 0.0768 0.0769 0.3683 0.3687
2023-24 Austin Bruins NAHL 31 4 7 11 0.355 0.1406 0.1402 0.3725 0.3714
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Mercyhurst D1 AHA SO 25 0 0 0 0.000
2024-25 Mercyhurst D1 AHA — 21 0 1 1 0.048
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.11
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.05
2024-25 · Mercyhurst
-56.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

25%
NCAA D1
10%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
28%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#14758
Defenseman overall
#2883
Defenseman born in 2004

D1 Comparables

Dan Molenaar
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Minnesota Duluth (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Average D
NCAAe PPG
James Roll
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.22 PPG
→ Lake Superior State (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.13 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Björkung
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.37 PPG
→ Ohio State (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.21 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Johnny Hrabovsky
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.24 PPG
→ Air Force (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.14 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Cameron McDonald
QMJHL · 2012-13 · 0.11 PPG
→ Providence (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.05 Average D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Blake Gutterman
Finlandia · 2018-19
0.625 Average
actual D2/3 PPG
Colton Brausen
Wisconsin-Stout · 2014-15
0.741 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Nikita Sobolev
New England College · 2023-24
0.000 No data
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.