Matthew Graham Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1995-08-01 Country: Canada

Set Commitment

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2014-15	Langley Rivermen	BCHL	57	18	16	34	0.597	0.2298	0.2278	0.8681	0.8604
2015-16	Langley Rivermen	BCHL	57	24	42	66	1.158	0.4461	0.4183	1.6851	1.5799
2018-19	St. Francis Xavier Univ.	USports-M	25	8	5	13	0.520	0.2744	0.2697	1.5241	1.4980
2019-20	St. Francis Xavier Univ.	USports-M	30	9	9	18	0.600	0.3166	0.3166	1.7586	1.7586
2020-21	St. Francis Xavier Univ.	USports-M	0	0	0	0	0.000	—	—	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2017-18	Robert Morris	D1	AHA	SO	32	6	11	17	0.531
2016-17	Robert Morris	D1	AHA	FR	32	5	5	10	0.312

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.29

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

0.31

2016-17 · Robert Morris

+6.7% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

95%

Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#12982

Forward overall

#520

Forward born in 1995

D2/3 Comparables

Shaquille Merasty

Adrian · 2015-16

1.357 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Ryan Bloom

University of New England · 2016-17

1.654 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Ryan Cusin

UMass Boston · 2015-16

1.600 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.