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Dylan Kinch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-12-25 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2022-23 Chilliwack Chiefs BCHL 51 13 9 22 0.431 0.1662 0.1753 0.6286 0.6631
2023-24 — BCHL 55 14 20 34 0.618 0.2382 0.2404 0.9008 0.9090
2024-25 Nanaimo Clippers BCHL 52 27 40 67 1.288 0.4965 0.4761 1.8775 1.8002
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Long Island Univ. D1 AHA FR 33 9 15 24 0.727
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.73
2025-26 · Long Island Univ.
+122.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

35%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
28%
Age-Out / Club
38%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#13240
Forward overall
#604
Forward born in 2004
#488
in BCHL

D1 Comparables

Gerald Mayhew
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Chad McDonald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
Michael Vecchione
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Luke Moodie
SUNY Oswego · 2008-09
0.926 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Quinn Waller
Adrian · 2006-07
1.586 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Nicolas Pigeon
Wisconsin-Stout · 2022-23
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.