← New Search ↗ Social Card

Jayson Shaugabay Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-04-05 Country: USA
2023 NHL Draft Round 4, Pick #115  ·  Tampa Bay Lightning Tampa Bay Lightning
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Warroad USHS-MN 28 30 42 72 2.571 0.6922 0.6922 0.6246 0.6246
2020-21 Warroad USHS-MN 20 24 30 54 2.700 0.7268 0.7268 0.6558 0.6558
2021-22 USHL 9 0 0 0 0.000
2022-23 USHL 27 3 13 16 0.593 0.3643 0.3813 1.7459 1.8272
2023-24 Green Bay Gamblers USHL 62 15 40 55 0.887 0.5453 0.5436 2.6136 2.6054
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC SO 40 11 32 43 1.075
2024-25 Minnesota D1 BigTen 36 12 14 26 0.722
2024-25 Minnesota Duluth D1 NCHC 36 12 14 26 0.722
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.41
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.72
2024-25 · Minnesota
+76.2% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

92%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
2%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4492
Forward overall
#110
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.54 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Average
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.56 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.81 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.59 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Strong
NCAAe PPG
NTDP-U18 · 2012-13 · 0.80 PPG
→ UMass
0.57 No data
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Minnesota (0.76 D1 FR PPG)
0.58 Strong
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Buffalo State · 2023-24
1.120 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Elmira · 2017-18
1.067 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.