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Matt Frattin Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1988-01-03 Country: Canada
2007 · Round 4, Pick #99  ·  Toronto Maple Leafs Toronto Maple Leafs
Signed Professionally
Barys Astana · KHL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2005-06 Fort Saskatchewan Traders AJHL 3 2 0 2 0.667 0.2236 0.2357 0.6170 0.6505
2006-07 Fort Saskatchewan Traders AJHL 58 49 34 83 1.431 0.4800 0.4840 1.3242 1.3352
2017-18 Barys Astana KHL 42 11 18 29 0.691 1.7263 1.5035 9.5142 8.2860
2018-19 Barys Astana KHL 52 17 22 39 0.750 1.8750 1.5500 10.3340 8.5426
2019-20 Ak Bars Kazan KHL 56 8 20 28 0.500 1.2500 1.2500 6.8894 6.8894
2020-21 Barys Astana KHL 49 11 16 27 0.551 1.3775 1.3775 7.5921 7.5921
2021-22 Barys Astana KHL 33 5 4 9 0.273 0.6817 0.4516 3.7575 2.4890
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2010-11 North Dakota D1 WCHA-orig SR 44 36 24 60 1.364
2009-10 North Dakota D1 NCHC JR 24 11 8 19 0.792
2008-09 North Dakota D1 NCHC SO 42 13 12 25 0.595
2007-08 North Dakota D1 NCHC FR 43 4 11 15 0.349
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.33
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.35
2007-08 · North Dakota
+5.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

2%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
98%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#1399
Forward overall
#53
Forward born in 1988

D2/3 Comparables

Aurora · 2013-14
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Salem State · 2021-22
1.111 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Endicott · 2015-16
1.310 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.