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Mike Connolly Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1989-07-03 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Straubing Tigers · DEL

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2006-07 Camrose Kodiaks AJHL 47 18 30 48 1.021 0.3425 0.3710 0.9451 1.0237
2007-08 Camrose Kodiaks AJHL 37 25 41 66 1.784 0.5983 0.6150 1.6507 1.6968
2013-14 Augsburger Panther DEL 52 14 28 42 0.808 2.0192 2.3991 6.8478 8.1360
2015-16 Straubing Tigers DEL 49 8 27 35 0.714 1.7858 1.9608 6.0560 6.6493
2016-17 Straubing Tigers DEL 52 9 39 48 0.923 2.3077 2.4897 7.8262 8.4434
2017-18 Straubing Tigers DEL 47 12 30 42 0.894 2.2340 2.3711 7.5761 8.0409
2018-19 Straubing Tigers DEL 52 15 37 52 1.000 2.5000 2.4263 8.4782 8.2282
2019-20 Straubing Tigers DEL 52 14 31 45 0.865 2.1635 2.1635 7.3370 7.3370
2020-21 Straubing Tigers DEL 23 1 4 5 0.217 0.5435 0.5435 1.8432 1.8432
2021-22 Straubing Tigers DEL 53 19 34 53 1.000 2.5000 1.9777 8.4782 6.7069
2022-23 Straubing Tigers DEL 50 16 22 38 0.760 1.9000 1.4471 6.4434 4.9075
2023-24 Straubing Tigers DEL 52 11 34 45 0.865 2.1635 1.5368 7.3370 5.2118
2024-25 Straubing Tigers DEL 43 11 21 32 0.744 1.8605 1.2361 6.3095 4.1921
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2012-13 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC JR 2 1 0 1 0.500
2011-12 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC SO 14 5 2 7 0.500
2010-11 Buffalo State D3 SUNYAC FR 17 5 2 7 0.412
2010-11 Minnesota Duluth D1 WCHA-orig — 42 28 26 54 1.286
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.48
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.41
2010-11 · Buffalo State
-14.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

🏒 NHL / Pro Track — production profile is consistent with players who bypassed or minimized college hockey
0%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
100%
NHL / Pro

NCAAe Rankings

#2073
Forward overall
#78
Forward born in 1989

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.