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Tyler Busch Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1996-01-03 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2012-13 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 7 1 0 1 0.143 0.0479 0.0530 0.1322 0.1462
2013-14 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 50 13 16 29 0.580 0.1945 0.2050 0.5367 0.5656
2014-15 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 29 11 10 21 0.724 0.2429 0.2431 0.6701 0.6706
2015-16 Spruce Grove Saints AJHL 52 21 47 68 1.308 0.4386 0.4185 1.2101 1.1547
Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2019-20 Arizona State D1 NCHC SR 36 3 18 21 0.583
2018-19 Arizona State D1 NCHC JR 34 7 14 21 0.618
2017-18 Arizona State D1 NCHC SO 29 7 8 15 0.517
2016-17 Arizona State D1 NCHC FR 32 9 11 20 0.625
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
Actual FR PPG
0.62
2016-17 · Arizona State
+109.6% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#14638
Forward overall
#579
Forward born in 1996
#243
in AJHL

D1 Comparables

USHL · 2012-13 · 0.75 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.41 Strong
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Union (0.89 D1 FR PPG)
0.53 Elite
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Curry · 2007-08
1.074 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Elmira · 2015-16
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Fitchburg State · 2022-23
0.731 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.