Joe Pavelski Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1984-07-11 Country: USA

Set Commitment

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2002-03	Waterloo Black Hawks	USHL	60	36	33	69	1.150	0.7069	0.7241	3.3881	3.4708
2003-04	Waterloo Black Hawks	USHL	54	21	31	52	0.963	0.5920	0.5752	2.8372	2.7568
2012-13	Dinamo Minsk	KHL	17	7	8	15	0.882	2.2060	2.0976	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2005-06	Wisconsin	D1	—	SO	43	23	33	56	1.302
2004-05	Wisconsin	D1	—	FR	41	16	29	45	1.098

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.59

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

1.10

2004-05 · Wisconsin

+85.8% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#667

Forward overall

#20

Forward born in 1984

D2/3 Comparables

Joona Juntunen

Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24

0.826 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

Geordan Buffoline

New England · 2017-18

1.667 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Conor Landrigan

Utica · 2016-17

1.038 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.