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Carmelo Crandell Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2005-03-02 Country: Canada
⚠️ Aging Out 2025-26: Turns 20 before Dec 31, 2025 — final eligible junior season.
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2021-22 Sherwood Park Crusaders AJHL 50 9 12 21 0.420 0.1394 0.1551 0.3893 0.4332
2022-23 Sherwood Park Crusaders AJHL 49 17 37 54 1.102 0.3656 0.3888 1.0213 1.0860
2023-24 Tri-City Storm USHL 53 6 16 22 0.415 0.2552 0.2532 1.2230 1.2135
2024-25 Tri-City Storm USHL 58 14 28 42 0.724 0.4451 0.4189 2.1333 2.0078
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC FR 34 7 5 12 0.353
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.30
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.35
2025-26 · Arizona State
+16.9% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

70%
NCAA D1
8%
NCAA D2/D3
18%
Age-Out / Club
5%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#10622
Forward overall
#492
Forward born in 2005

D1 Comparables

Chad McDonald
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Ferris State (0.48 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Charlie O'Connor
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.64 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.10 D1 FR PPG)
0.37 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jared Linnell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.72 PPG
→ Alaska Fairbanks (0.20 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Ben Foster
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.60 PPG
→ Princeton (0.30 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Phil Marinaccio
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.77 PPG
→ Bemidji State (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.45 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2002-03
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Woodward
SUNY Oswego · 2001-02
1.226 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Tyler Barrow
Wilkes · 2017-18
1.385 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.