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William Horcoff Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-01-23 Country: USA
2025 · Round 1, Pick #24  ·  Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — NTDP-U18 54 11 8 19 0.352 0.2616 0.2643 1.3196 1.3333
2024-25 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 28 8 6 14 0.500 0.3716 0.3580 1.8749 1.8063
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 18 4 6 10 0.556
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.56
2024-25 · Michigan
+145.6% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

80%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
8%
Age-Out / Club
8%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16949
Forward overall
#508
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Evan Allen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Drew Melanson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ RPI (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.29 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Kelleher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.44 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Motte
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Average
NCAAe PPG
C.J. Smith
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.90 D1 FR PPG)
0.38 Elite
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Craig Kennedy
Hamilton · 2000-01
1.353 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Zach Tarantino
UMass Dartmouth · 2017-18
0.667 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2010-11
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.