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William Horcoff Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2007-01-23 Country: USA
2025 NHL Draft Round 1, Pick #24  ·  Pittsburgh Penguins Pittsburgh Penguins
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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2023-24 — NTDP-U18 54 11 8 19 0.352 0.2729 0.2757 1.3097 1.3233
2024-25 U.S. National U18 Team NTDP-U18 28 8 6 14 0.500 0.3877 0.3735 1.8610 1.7929
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2024-25 Michigan D1 BigTen — 18 4 6 10 0.556
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.24
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.56
2024-25 · Michigan
+135.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

65%
NCAA D1
2%
NCAA D2/D3
12%
Age-Out / Club
20%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#16261
Forward overall
#469
Forward born in 2007

D1 Comparables

Evan Allen
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.62 PPG
→ Michigan (0.26 D1 FR PPG)
0.39 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Drew Melanson
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ RPI (0.56 D1 FR PPG)
0.30 Strong
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Kelleher
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.73 PPG
→ New Hampshire (0.43 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Average
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Motte
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.65 PPG
→ Michigan (0.53 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Average
NCAAe PPG
C.J. Smith
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.98 PPG
→ UMass Lowell (0.90 D1 FR PPG)
0.42 Elite
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
New England · 2010-11
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Paul Rodrigues
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
0.893 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Gage Dill
Curry · 2018-19
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.