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Jake Southgate Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2002-11-04 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2019-20 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 3 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2020-21 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 3 1 1 2 0.667 0.1708 0.1708 0.5026 0.5026
2021-22 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 55 23 29 52 0.946 0.2422 0.2449 0.7127 0.7207
2022-23 Battlefords North Stars SJHL 54 25 57 82 1.518 0.3890 0.3739 1.1446 1.1002
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Lindenwood D1 CCHA JR 30 8 16 24 0.800
2024-25 Lindenwood D1 CCHA SR 29 5 7 12 0.414
2023-24 Lindenwood D1 CCHA JR 28 7 9 16 0.571
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.28
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.57
2023-24 · Lindenwood
+107.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

42%
NCAA D1
5%
NCAA D2/D3
30%
Age-Out / Club
22%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#9722
Forward overall
#468
Forward born in 2002
#27
in SJHL

D1 Comparables

Sean Gaffney
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.14 PPG
→ UConn (0.18 D1 FR PPG)
0.40 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Emil Romig
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.00 PPG
→ Denver (0.31 D1 FR PPG)
0.35 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Joseph-Matthew Manno
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.63 PPG
→ Northeastern (0.22 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Jonathan Davis
NAHL · 2012-13 · 1.03 PPG
→ Nebraska Omaha (0.06 D1 FR PPG)
0.36 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Tyler Deresky
NAHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ Bentley (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Gregg Burmaster
Utica · 2014-15
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryce Grandbois
Worcester State · 2024-25
0.769 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Bryan Hovanec
Lebanon Valley · 2014-15
0.760 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.