Matt Lorito Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1990-07-03 Country: Canada

Set Commitment

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Detected conference: () — projections will update automatically.

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Projecting as:

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NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory

Dashed = raw PPG · ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG · ■ Green = actual college PPG

Junior Seasons

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG	NCAAe-PPG	Age-Adj	D3e-PPG	Age-Adj
2009-10	Villanova Knights	OJHL	56	32	46	78	1.393	0.4184	0.4026	0.9534	0.9174
2010-11	Villanova Knights	OJHL	41	28	54	82	2.000	0.6008	0.5502	1.3690	1.2537
2021-22	Dinamo Riga	KHL	17	3	4	7	0.412	1.0295	0.8105	—	—
2022-23	Grizzlys Wolfsburg	DEL	18	2	3	5	0.278	0.3038	0.2466	—	—

■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor) ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor) COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow

College Seasons (Historical)

Season	School	Div	Conference	Year	GP	G	A	Pts	PPG
2014-15	Brown	D1	ECAC	SR	29	11	12	23	0.793
2013-14	Brown	D1	ECAC	JR	29	10	19	29	1.000
2012-13	Brown	D1	ECAC	SO	36	22	15	37	1.028
2011-12	Brown	D1	ECAC	FR	24	4	13	17	0.708

Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year

Projected PPG

0.42

before college

→

Actual FR PPG

0.71

2011-12 · Brown

+68.5% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%

NCAA D1

NCAA D2/D3

88%

Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#2877

Forward overall

#136

Forward born in 1990

D2/3 Comparables

Brett Ouderkirk

Norwich · 2017-18

0.966 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

Corey Stark

Wisconsin-Superior · 2005-06

1.038 Elite

actual D2/3 PPG

Luke Nesper

Wisconsin-Stevens Point · 2007-08

0.889 Strong

actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.