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Nelson Armstrong Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1993-12-09 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2009-10 Peterborough Liftlock Stars OJHL 6 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2010-11 Peterborough Liftlock Stars OJHL 48 11 26 37 0.771 0.2154 0.2343 0.5319 0.5785
2012-13 Peterborough Petes OHL 25 4 9 13 0.520 0.3103 0.3034 1.3469 1.3168
2013-14 Peterborough Petes OHL 66 9 36 45 0.682 0.4069 0.3770 1.7660 1.6362
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2012-13 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC SO 18 0 3 3 0.167
2011-12 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC FR 26 1 4 5 0.192
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.22
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.19
2011-12 · St. Lawrence
-13.1% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#995
Defenseman overall
#314
Defenseman born in 1993

D1 Comparables

Barrett Kaib
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.57 PPG
→ Providence (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.34 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Nolan Valleau
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.41 PPG
→ Bowling Green (0.49 D1 FR PPG)
0.24 Strong D
NCAAe PPG
Victor Newell
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.52 PPG
→ Harvard (0.67 D1 FR PPG)
0.31 Elite D
NCAAe PPG
Taylor Fleming
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.48 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.17 D1 FR PPG)
0.28 Average D
NCAAe PPG
Paul LaDue
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.79 PPG
→ North Dakota (0.51 D1 FR PPG)
0.46 Elite D
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Jordan Reed
Curry · 2009-10
0.885 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Rusty Masters
Elmira · 2005-06
0.962 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Eric Selleck
SUNY Oswego · 2007-08
1.000 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.