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Nelson Armstrong Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Defense DOB: 1993-12-09 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Univ. of Prince Edward Island · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2009-10 Peterborough Liftlock Stars OJHL 6 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2010-11 Peterborough Liftlock Stars OJHL 48 11 26 37 0.771 0.1889 0.2054 0.5307 0.5772
2012-13 Peterborough Petes OHL 25 4 9 13 0.520 0.3008 0.2941 1.3361 1.3062
2013-14 Peterborough Petes OHL 66 9 36 45 0.682 0.3944 0.3654 1.7519 1.6231
2014-15 Univ. of Prince Edward Island USports-M 28 0 9 9 0.321 0.1696 0.1860 0.9420 1.0332
2015-16 Univ. of Prince Edward Island USports-M 28 5 15 20 0.714 0.3769 0.3948 2.0936 2.1930
2016-17 Univ. of Prince Edward Island USports-M 29 4 6 10 0.345 0.1819 0.1816 1.0106 1.0090
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2012-13 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC SO 18 0 3 3 0.167
2011-12 St. Lawrence D1 ECAC FR 26 1 4 5 0.192
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.19
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.19
2011-12 · St. Lawrence
-0.8% vs. projection

NCAAe Rankings

#4544
Defenseman overall
#740
Defenseman born in 1993

D2/3 Comparables

Ryan Bloom
University of New England · 2015-16
1.654 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Casey Shade
Wentworth · 2007-08
1.407 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Carter Davis
St. Scholastica · 2007-08
0.538 Average
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.