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Jake Smith Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 1997-07-03 Country: Canada
Signed Professionally
Carleton Univ. · USports-M

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2013-14 Burlington Cougars OJHL 5 0 1 1 0.200 0.0490 0.0549 0.1377 0.1543
2014-15 Starbulls Rosenheim U19 DNL 17 13 7 20 1.177 0.1815 0.1817 0.7548 0.7555
2015-16 — QMJHL 51 10 11 21 0.412 0.2023 0.2042 1.0993 1.1099
2016-17 — QMJHL 66 22 22 44 0.667 0.3275 0.3153 1.7798 1.7136
2017-18 Windsor Spitfires OHL 59 20 28 48 0.814 0.4707 0.4249 2.1303 1.9232
2018-19 Carleton Univ. USports-M 27 17 18 35 1.296 0.6839 0.7379 3.7985 4.0985
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2020-21 Michigan State D1 BigTen SR 10 0 0 0 0.000
2019-20 Michigan State D1 BigTen JR 5 0 0 0 0.000
2018-19 Michigan State D1 BigTen SO 12 0 1 1 0.083
2017-18 Michigan State D1 BigTen FR 31 2 3 5 0.161
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.23
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.16
2017-18 · Michigan State
-30.4% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

12%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
38%
Age-Out / Club
50%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#5085
Forward overall
#255
Forward born in 1997

D1 Comparables

Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Neil Trimm
Neumann · 2003-04
1.800 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Arkhip Ledenkov
St. Scholastica · 2018-19
1.636 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Brandon Osmundson
Utica · 2018-19
1.448 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.