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Sam Alfano Elite Prospects ↗

Position: Forward DOB: 2004-01-18 Country: Canada
No commitment set

Set Commitment

NCAA Division I

NCAA D3 / D2

Career Trajectory
Dashed = raw PPG  ·  ■ Solid blue = age-adjusted NCAAe-PPG  ·  ■ Green = actual college PPG
Junior Seasons
Season Team League GP G A Pts PPG NCAAe-PPG Age-Adj D3e-PPG Age-Adj
2020-21 Peterborough Petes OHL 0 0 0 0 0.000 — — — —
2021-22 Peterborough Petes OHL 65 13 12 25 0.385 0.2225 0.2285 0.9882 1.0149
2022-23 Erie Otters OHL 59 18 15 33 0.559 0.3236 0.3183 1.4371 1.4137
2023-24 Erie Otters OHL 66 27 33 60 0.909 0.5259 0.4922 2.3359 2.1860
2024-25 Erie Otters OHL 68 41 43 84 1.235 0.7146 0.6319 3.1741 2.8067
■ Blue = NCAAe (D1 anchor)   ■ Green = D3e (D3 anchor)   COVID-flagged seasons highlighted in yellow
College Seasons (Historical)
Season School Div Conference Year GP G A Pts PPG
2025-26 Arizona State D1 NCHC — 35 7 11 18 0.514
Pre-College Projection vs. Actual Freshman Year
Projected PPG
0.54
before college
→
Actual FR PPG
0.51
2025-26 · Arizona State
-4.1% vs. projection

College Pathway Likelihood (based on 40 comparables)

8%
NCAA D1
0%
NCAA D2/D3
48%
Age-Out / Club
45%
Pro / Other

NCAAe Rankings

#4481
Forward overall
#108
Forward born in 2004
#221
in OHL

D1 Comparables

Shane Sooth
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.95 PPG
→ Northern Michigan (0.45 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Eric Scheid
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.94 PPG
→ Alaska Anchorage (0.50 D1 FR PPG)
0.50 Average
NCAAe PPG
Michael Huntebrinker
USHL · 2012-13 · 0.91 PPG
→ Minnesota State (0.15 D1 FR PPG)
0.49 Developing
NCAAe PPG
Mike Szmatula
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.21 PPG
→ Northeastern (1.05 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Elite
NCAAe PPG
Kyle Novak
USHL · 2012-13 · 1.20 PPG
→ Western Michigan (0.19 D1 FR PPG)
0.65 Developing
NCAAe PPG

D2/3 Comparables

Conor Landrigan
Utica · 2016-17
1.038 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG
Joona Juntunen
Saint Mary's (MN) · 2023-24
0.826 Strong
actual D2/3 PPG
Ryan Ellis
SUNY Oswego · 2004-05
1.704 Elite
actual D2/3 PPG

How to read this: NCAAe and D3e factors convert a player's junior PPG into expected NCAA scoring at the D1 or D3 level. Harder conferences → lower projected PPG for the same player. A strong junior player (e.g. USHL 0.90 PPG) will project much higher in NESCAC than Big Ten because the D3 scoring environment is lower-difficulty.

Strength factor: conferences above 1.0 are harder than average; below 1.0 are easier. The formula is: Base NCAAe PPG ÷ Conference Strength = Projected PPG.